The Buffalo Bills, with a 7-3 record, are predicted to face the Houston Texans, who are 5-5, in an AFC matchup on Thursday night of NFL Week 12. Both teams are coming off wins in Week 11.
The Texans secured their victory on a last-second field goal, marking their second consecutive win without starting quarterback C.J. Stroud, who is currently questionable with a concussion.
If Davis Mills starts again for Houston, they are expected to be significant underdogs against the Bills. The betting odds favor the Bills, with a spread of -3.5 and moneyline of -192, while the Texans are +3.5 with a moneyline of +160.
The total points are set at 44.5. In terms of betting trends, the Bills are 5-5 against the spread this season, and the Texans are 4-6.
The under has hit in 6-3-1 of the Texans' games, while the over is 5-5 for the Bills. On the road, the Bills are 2-2 against the spread, and the Texans are 3-2 at home.
Injury-wise, C.J. Stroud is questionable for the Texans due to a concussion.
Key player Josh Allen, quarterback for the Bills, is highlighted after a strong performance in Week 11 where he accounted for six touchdowns. Despite some turnover issues this season, Allen's recent play suggests he could be crucial for the Bills to win and cover the spread against Houston's top-ranked pass defense.
The prediction is that the Bills will win and cover the spread at -3.5. The reasoning is that even if Stroud plays, the Texans' offense has been inconsistent.
The Bills showed offensive rhythm in Week 11 and possess a strong rushing attack that can pressure Houston. The Texans' struggle against a less successful Tennessee team further supports the idea that they would not be able to keep pace with the Bills' offense if Davis Mills is the starting quarterback.
The article advises betting on the Bills due to their offensive potential and the importance of securing a playoff spot.